Saturday, June 07, 2008

Hmmmmm...

An interesting theory....

In applied psychology there is a well-known phenomenon called the conservative decision shift. In approach-avoidance choice conflicts, ultimately the negative elements carry increasingly disproportionate weight as the time of decision draws nearer causing a tendency to favor the safer alternative. Given the negatives Obama has accumulated thus far, with more likely to come, I would predict a strong move to McCain in late October. The late closing of HC and Obama's deacceleration are evidence of the same principle.

The above was authored in response to this article over at NRO Online.

So it begins.

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